Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Crosby 56.6% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 76.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 71.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 74.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
McDavid
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
McDavid
Crosby
Last 10: McDavid 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
McDavid
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
6
McDavid
Crosby
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
56.2% (1,451)
-8.5%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
61.4% (293)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
55.3% (38)
-33.1%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +33.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
McDavid
Crosby
Home
47.3% (387)
59.1% (939)
Away
48.1% (389)
54.7% (843)
By Period
McDavid
Crosby
P1
47.6%
54.9%
P2
50.0%
60.8%
P3
45.0%
55.4%
Final 5 min
46.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
47.7%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 07:22 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |