Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Crosby 55.1% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Lazar leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 91.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 72.6%
Neutral zone
Crosby 56.0%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Lazar
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Lazar
Crosby
Last 10: Lazar 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
4
2
Lazar
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (286)
55.9% (676)
-2.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
56.7% (171)
-23.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (72)
46.3% (41)
-4.6%
On power play, Crosby has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Lazar is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (255).
Lazar shoots right. Crosby is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Lazar
Crosby
Home
53.1% (211)
57.7% (454)
Away
48.7% (150)
53.5% (434)
By Period
Lazar
Crosby
P1
45.3%
55.9%
P2
52.8%
53.0%
P3
54.7%
57.7%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.8%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.2%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 16:59 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 13:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 11:10 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |