Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lazar wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Crosby 56.6% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 86.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 70.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 66.9%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Lazar
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lazar
Crosby
Last 7: Lazar 4-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Lazar
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
2
Lazar
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
56.2% (1,451)
-4.8%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
61.4% (293)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
55.3% (38)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Lazar is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Lazar shoots right. Crosby is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Lazar
Crosby
Home
49.7% (163)
59.1% (939)
Away
52.3% (237)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Lazar
Crosby
P1
46.9%
54.9%
P2
53.3%
60.8%
P3
53.3%
55.4%
Final 5 min
52.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.3%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |