Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Crosby 53.5% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 35-20 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 76.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 87.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 64.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Evans
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
35
(55 meetings)
20
35
Evans
Crosby
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
21
Evans
Crosby
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
11
4
Evans
Crosby
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
6
10
Evans
Crosby
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
52.8% (18,031)
+0.9%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
57.4% (4,741)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
47.0% (766)
+0.1%
On power play, Evans has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Evans shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,671).
Home / Away
Evans
Crosby
Home
53.3% (2,621)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
Evans
Crosby
P1
54.0%
53.6%
P2
50.9%
53.8%
P3
52.0%
53.3%
OT
46.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:32 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |