Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacLean wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 44.7% vs Crosby 57.8% (-15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 76.9%
Defensive zone
MacLean 56.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 53.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
MacLean
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
MacLean
Crosby
Last 8: MacLean 4-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
MacLean
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
3
0
MacLean
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacLean
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (238)
57.8% (1,437)
-15.4%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
60.9% (381)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
50.0% (54)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. MacLean is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (157).
MacLean shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Home / Away
MacLean
Crosby
Home
41.4% (128)
59.2% (985)
Away
43.7% (119)
57.2% (887)
By Period
MacLean
Crosby
P1
49.3%
57.3%
P2
41.6%
59.5%
P3
37.6%
58.5%
Final 5 min
41.0%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
60.0%▲
54.0%
42.5%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |