Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.3% vs Crosby 55.4% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 71.8%
Defensive zone
Kadri 67.4%
Neutral zone
Kadri 68.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Kadri
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Kadri
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Kadri
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Kadri
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (848)
53.6% (1,008)
-6.7%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
65.0% (246)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
60.0% (15)
-21.5%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kadri is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (609).
Kadri shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (896).
Home / Away
Kadri
Crosby
Home
46.5% (495)
56.9% (675)
Away
47.6% (452)
54.7% (594)
By Period
Kadri
Crosby
P1
52.6%
55.6%
P2
48.9%
53.3%
P3
40.1%
58.7%
OT
44.4%
54.2%
Final 5 min
47.0%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
34.0%▼
38.0%
47.0%
Crosby
62.0%▲
53.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |