Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Greig wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 51.1% vs Crosby 55.1% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 75.5%
Defensive zone
Greig 86.2%
Neutral zone
Greig 55.9%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Greig
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Greig
Crosby
Last 10: Greig 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
Greig
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
2
1
Greig
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Greig
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (347)
53.3% (1,025)
-1.4%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
64.7% (249)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
60.0% (15)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Greig shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Greig
Crosby
Home
50.4% (254)
56.9% (675)
Away
52.5% (204)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Greig
Crosby
P1
45.9%
55.1%
P2
60.1%
53.1%
P3
49.2%
58.5%
OT
0.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
54.3%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 02:08 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |