Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Poehling wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 48.0% vs Crosby 55.1% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Poehling 52.2%
Defensive zone
Poehling 92.1%
Neutral zone
Poehling 71.7%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Poehling
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Poehling
Crosby
Last 10: Poehling 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
6
Poehling
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Poehling
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (680)
53.3% (1,025)
-2.9%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
64.7% (249)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (219)
60.0% (15)
-21.2%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Poehling shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Poehling
Crosby
Home
47.4% (422)
56.9% (675)
Away
48.1% (489)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Poehling
Crosby
P1
53.3%
55.1%
P2
40.3%
53.1%
P3
50.0%
58.5%
OT
40.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
52.3%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:09 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |