Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Crosby wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 55.1% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 52.8%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 56.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 58.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Crosby
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Crosby
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (1,025)
57.1% (368)
-3.8%
Power Play
64.7% (249)
55.2% (96)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
50.0% (10)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Crosby is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Crosby shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Crosby
Stamkos
Home
56.9% (675)
53.9% (230)
Away
54.1% (614)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Crosby
Stamkos
P1
55.1%
56.7%
P2
53.1%
54.1%
P3
58.5%
59.2%
OT
54.2%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |