Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Crosby wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 55.1% vs Hertl 57.5% (-2.6%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 56.0%
Defensive zone
Crosby 50.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Crosby
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (1,025)
58.7% (858)
-5.4%
Power Play
64.7% (249)
55.8% (285)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
62.9% (35)
-2.9%
On power play, Crosby has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Crosby shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Crosby
Hertl
Home
56.9% (675)
60.1% (599)
Away
54.1% (614)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Crosby
Hertl
P1
55.1%
52.4%
P2
53.1%
63.9%
P3
58.5%
58.5%
OT
54.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%