Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Crosby wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 57.8% vs Motte 50.2% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 88.8%
Defensive zone
Crosby 57.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 65.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Crosby
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Crosby
Motte
Last 6: Crosby 4-2 Motte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
1
Crosby
Motte
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Motte
0
1
Crosby
Motte
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Motte
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (1,437)
49.7% (149)
+8.1%
Power Play
60.9% (381)
100.0% (1)
-39.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
60.0% (5)
-10.0%
On power play, Motte has a +39.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Crosby shoots left. Motte is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Crosby
Motte
Home
59.2% (985)
49.4% (89)
Away
57.2% (887)
51.5% (66)
By Period
Crosby
Motte
P1
57.3%
51.7%
P2
59.5%
50.0%
P3
58.5%
48.8%
Final 5 min
59.7%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
58.2%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Tyler Motte |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 12:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 12:15 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Tyler Motte |