Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Crosby wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 55.1% vs Johnston 48.0% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 73.7%
Defensive zone
Johnston 50.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 58.7%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Crosby
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Crosby
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Crosby
Johnston
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (1,025)
47.3% (666)
+6.0%
Power Play
64.7% (249)
50.7% (69)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
51.4% (35)
+8.6%
On power play, Crosby has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Crosby is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Crosby shoots left. Johnston is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Crosby
Johnston
Home
56.9% (675)
47.5% (364)
Away
54.1% (614)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Crosby
Johnston
P1
55.1%
49.4%
P2
53.1%
46.9%
P3
58.5%
47.1%
OT
54.2%
47.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | OT | 04:01 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 7, 2025 | OT | 01:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |