Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 29 meetings). Crosby wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 53.5% vs Gourde 48.2% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 36-27 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 90.4%
Defensive zone
Crosby 59.3%
Neutral zone
Crosby 75.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Crosby
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
27
(63 meetings)
36
27
Crosby
Gourde
Last 10: Crosby 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
21
8
Crosby
Gourde
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
7
14
Crosby
Gourde
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
8
5
Crosby
Gourde
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (18,031)
48.4% (4,987)
+4.4%
Power Play
57.4% (4,741)
57.4% (376)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (766)
40.0% (555)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,886).
Crosby shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,967).
Home / Away
Crosby
Gourde
Home
55.0% (11,998)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
52.0% (11,559)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Crosby
Gourde
P1
53.6%
49.8%
P2
53.8%
47.5%
P3
53.3%
47.5%
OT
49.6%
37.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 03:10 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 17:36 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:44 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:56 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |