Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 28 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Stamkos 51.1% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 42-21 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 83.2%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 83.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 81.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 82.8%
17.2%
82.8%
Horvat
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
42
(63 meetings)
21
42
Horvat
Stamkos
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
10
18
Horvat
Stamkos
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
7
15
Horvat
Stamkos
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
9
Horvat
Stamkos
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,637)
50.5% (9,825)
+3.4%
Power Play
61.1% (2,711)
55.2% (1,729)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,497)
49.6% (827)
-2.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,115).
Horvat shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stamkos
Home
56.1% (8,401)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Horvat
Stamkos
P1
54.1%
49.2%
P2
54.4%
52.7%
P3
55.0%
50.9%
OT
49.6%
54.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 18:10 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 06:38 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |