Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Stamkos wins 58.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 55.4% vs Stützle 52.6% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 62.0%
Defensive zone
Stützle 61.4%
Neutral zone
Stützle 62.5%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Stamkos
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Stamkos
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Stamkos
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Stamkos
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (368)
52.7% (501)
+4.4%
Power Play
55.2% (96)
54.2% (59)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
56.3% (32)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Stamkos shoots right. Stützle is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Stützle
Home
53.9% (230)
51.9% (285)
Away
59.0% (244)
54.1% (307)
By Period
Stamkos
Stützle
P1
56.7%
51.6%
P2
54.1%
55.4%
P3
59.2%
52.2%
OT
62.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.3%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |