Steven Stamkos vs Tomas Nosek

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Steven Stamkos holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Stamkos wins 58.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stamkos 55.4% vs Nosek 48.5% (+9.1%)
Offensive zone Stamkos 78.6%
Defensive zone Nosek 65.9%
Neutral zone Stamkos 51.7%
Result Steven Stamkos favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Stamkos Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stamkos
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (368)
52.0% (102)
+5.1%
Power Play
55.2% (96)
100.0% (2)
-44.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
29.0% (31)
+21.0%
On power play, Nosek has a +44.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Stamkos shoots right. Nosek is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Nosek
Home
53.9% (230)
52.0% (50)
Away
59.0% (244)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Stamkos
Nosek
P1
56.7%
45.0%
P2
54.1%
42.0%
P3
59.2%
55.6%
Final 5 min
59.3%
43.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
66.0%
56.5%
56.5%
Nosek
56.0%
50.0%
47.4%