Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 30 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 51.1% vs Zajac 54.2% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 51-42 in 93 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 65.2%
Defensive zone
Zajac 64.0%
Neutral zone
Zajac 54.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Stamkos
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
51
(93 meetings)
42
51
Stamkos
Zajac
Last 10: Stamkos 3-7 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
21
14
Stamkos
Zajac
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
8
22
Stamkos
Zajac
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
13
15
Stamkos
Zajac
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (9,825)
54.4% (9,056)
-3.9%
Power Play
55.2% (1,729)
59.1% (1,498)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (827)
48.6% (1,599)
+1.0%
On even strength, Zajac has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,601).
Stamkos shoots right. Zajac is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,011).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Zajac
Home
52.8% (6,270)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
49.3% (6,137)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Stamkos
Zajac
P1
49.2%
53.8%
P2
52.7%
55.6%
P3
50.9%
53.6%
OT
54.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 07:45 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 12:26 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 09:53 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 07:19 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |