Steven Stamkos vs Tyler Seguin

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Steven Stamkos holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stamkos 55.4% vs Seguin 52.5% (+2.9%)
Offensive zone Stamkos 72.7%
Defensive zone Seguin 65.9%
Neutral zone Stamkos 54.0%
Result Steven Stamkos favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Stamkos Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stamkos
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (368)
53.2% (201)
+3.9%
Power Play
55.2% (96)
60.0% (25)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +5.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stamkos is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Stamkos shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Seguin
Home
53.9% (230)
56.3% (126)
Away
59.0% (244)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Stamkos
Seguin
P1
56.7%
44.3%
P2
54.1%
52.1%
P3
59.2%
62.5%
OT
62.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
59.3%
50.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
66.0%
56.5%
56.5%
Seguin
42.0%
54.0%
53.6%