Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 51.1% vs Jost 40.5% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Jost leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Jost 86.4%
Defensive zone
Jost 85.5%
Neutral zone
Jost 88.6%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 86.6%
13.4%
86.6%
Stamkos
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Stamkos
Jost
Last 10: Stamkos 1-9 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
2
3
Stamkos
Jost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
6
Stamkos
Jost
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stamkos
Jost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (9,825)
41.0% (2,016)
+9.5%
Power Play
55.2% (1,729)
34.2% (73)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (827)
35.2% (256)
+14.4%
On power play, Stamkos has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Stamkos shoots right. Jost is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (876).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Jost
Home
52.8% (6,270)
41.9% (1,240)
Away
49.3% (6,137)
38.1% (1,105)
By Period
Stamkos
Jost
P1
49.2%
38.5%
P2
52.7%
41.1%
P3
50.9%
40.9%
OT
54.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 12:17 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 11:24 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:56 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 13:21 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |