Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 50.6%). Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (68% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 51.1% vs Smith 50.6% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 41-31 in 72 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 62.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 81.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 61.1%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Stamkos
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
41
(72 meetings)
31
41
Stamkos
Smith
Last 10: Stamkos 5-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
12
13
Stamkos
Smith
25 total
Defensive Zone
Even
11
11
Stamkos
Smith
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
8
17
Stamkos
Smith
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (9,825)
51.6% (5,265)
-1.1%
Power Play
55.2% (1,729)
51.2% (342)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (827)
45.3% (985)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Stamkos shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Smith
Home
52.8% (6,270)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
49.3% (6,137)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Stamkos
Smith
P1
49.2%
49.9%
P2
52.7%
50.0%
P3
50.9%
51.9%
OT
54.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
52.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 06:06 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 10:53 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 16:46 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 16:37 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 02:41 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |