Steven Stamkos vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Stamkos wins 58.6% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 55.4% vs Girgensons 46.8% (+11.3%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 83.5%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 72.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 52.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Stamkos
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (368)
45.1% (164)
+12.0%
Power Play
55.2% (96)
50.0% (2)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
45.2% (31)
+4.8%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Stamkos shoots right. Girgensons is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Girgensons
Home
53.9% (230)
44.6% (92)
Away
59.0% (244)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Stamkos
Girgensons
P1
56.7%
44.2%
P2
54.1%
46.0%
P3
59.2%
45.1%
Final 5 min
59.3%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.2%