Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Thompson 45.2% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 58.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 92.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 79.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Henrique
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Henrique
Thompson
Last 5: Henrique 4-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Henrique
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
44.6% (661)
+10.8%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
48.4% (95)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
33.3% (33)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Henrique
Thompson
Home
52.4% (227)
45.7% (411)
Away
55.2% (324)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Henrique
Thompson
P1
57.0%
47.7%
P2
52.5%
45.7%
P3
52.4%
40.5%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.8%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |