Scouting Report
Tage Thompson holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 35.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 43.6% vs Thompson 45.2% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 76.6%
Defensive zone
Groulx 56.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 58.7%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Groulx
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Groulx
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Groulx
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
1
0
Groulx
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (87)
44.6% (661)
-2.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
48.4% (95)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
33.3% (33)
-8.3%
On power play, Thompson has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Groulx is 35.3% vs right-shot opponents (34).
Groulx shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Groulx
Thompson
Home
53.8% (39)
45.7% (411)
Away
30.4% (79)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Groulx
Thompson
P1
48.1%
47.7%
P2
38.6%
45.7%
P3
32.6%
40.5%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.5%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
38.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 05:00 | Offensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |