Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Thompson 45.2% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 94.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 93.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 89.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 92.1%
92.1%
7.9%
Horvat
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Horvat
Thompson
Last 5: Horvat 5-0 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (713)
44.6% (661)
+10.8%
Power Play
63.2% (242)
48.4% (95)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
33.3% (33)
+14.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Horvat is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Horvat shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thompson
Home
59.0% (515)
45.7% (411)
Away
54.0% (544)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Horvat
Thompson
P1
59.6%
47.7%
P2
53.9%
45.7%
P3
56.2%
40.5%
OT
55.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
59.6%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |