Scouting Report
Tim Stützle holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 41.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 45.2% vs Stützle 52.6% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 80.5%
Defensive zone
Thompson 51.1%
Neutral zone
Stützle 64.1%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Thompson
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Thompson
Stützle
Last 5: Thompson 3-2 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
1
Thompson
Stützle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Stützle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (661)
52.7% (501)
-8.1%
Power Play
48.4% (95)
54.2% (59)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
56.3% (32)
-23.0%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Thompson shoots right. Stützle is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Thompson
Stützle
Home
45.7% (411)
51.9% (285)
Away
43.4% (378)
54.1% (307)
By Period
Thompson
Stützle
P1
47.7%
51.6%
P2
45.7%
55.4%
P3
40.5%
52.2%
OT
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
42.1%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:24 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |