Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 40.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 41.2% vs Gourde 49.5% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 62.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 59.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 61.0%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Thompson
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Thompson
Gourde
Last 10: Thompson 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
1
Thompson
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Thompson
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Thompson
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (801)
49.1% (731)
-8.5%
Power Play
44.7% (103)
54.3% (81)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (71)
48.2% (85)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Thompson shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Thompson
Gourde
Home
43.2% (507)
50.9% (479)
Away
37.2% (468)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Thompson
Gourde
P1
37.7%
51.2%
P2
43.4%
49.8%
P3
39.5%
47.5%
OT
27.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
39.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
40.3%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 08:25 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 16:40 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |