Scouting Report
Tyler Graovac holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Graovac on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kero wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Graovac shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kero 45.4% vs Graovac 48.1% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Graovac 76.4%
Defensive zone
Kero 67.7%
Neutral zone
Graovac 54.1%
Result
Tyler Graovac favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Kero
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kero
Graovac
Last 7: Kero 5-2 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Graovac
1
2
Kero
Graovac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kero
2
0
Kero
Graovac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kero
2
0
Kero
Graovac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kero
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (434)
47.5% (341)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Kero is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (301).
Kero shoots left. Graovac is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Kero
Graovac
Home
47.7% (214)
48.6% (181)
Away
41.6% (257)
46.3% (162)
By Period
Kero
Graovac
P1
44.4%
42.4%
P2
48.5%
46.8%
P3
39.4%
54.5%
Final 5 min
36.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
44.4%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 01:27 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 02:31 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 15, 2017 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 15, 2017 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |