Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.0% vs 46.5%). Look for Graovac on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kero 46.5% vs Graovac 47.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Graovac 59.2%
Defensive zone
Kero 72.1%
Neutral zone
Kero 58.8%
Result
Tanner Kero favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Kero
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kero
Graovac
Last 7: Kero 5-2 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Graovac
1
2
Kero
Graovac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kero
2
0
Kero
Graovac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kero
2
0
Kero
Graovac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kero
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (668)
46.5% (497)
+0.5%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
50.0% (4)
-7.1%
On power play, Graovac has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Kero is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Kero shoots left. Graovac is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Kero
Graovac
Home
49.1% (332)
47.6% (233)
Away
43.3% (390)
45.5% (268)
By Period
Kero
Graovac
P1
47.6%
41.7%
P2
48.8%
47.4%
P3
40.9%
51.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
46.0%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 01:27 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 02:31 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 15, 2017 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 15, 2017 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |