Scouting Report
Tom Wilson holds a +24.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pearson 45.0% vs Wilson 48.5% (-24.4%)
Offensive zone
Wilson 52.0%
Defensive zone
Wilson 63.2%
Neutral zone
Wilson 53.2%
Result
Tom Wilson favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Pearson
Wilson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pearson
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
16.7% (18)
41.7% (12)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
40.0% (15)
+10.0%
On even strength, Wilson has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. Pearson is 11.1% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Pearson shoots left. Wilson is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Pearson
Wilson
Home
15.4% (13)
33.3% (15)
Away
28.6% (7)
52.4% (21)
By Period
Pearson
Wilson
P1
30.0%
46.7%
P2
16.7%
50.0%
P3
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pearson
24.0%▼
31.0%
20.0%
Wilson
38.0%▬
39.0%
44.4%