Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.0%). Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Blueger 51.7% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 93.0%
Defensive zone
Blueger 75.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 60.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Matthews
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Matthews
Blueger
Last 7: Matthews 5-2 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
0
Matthews
Blueger
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Matthews
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Blueger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
54.1% (425)
-1.4%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
100.0% (6)
-65.4%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
43.8% (144)
+31.2%
On power play, Blueger has a +65.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Blueger is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Home / Away
Matthews
Blueger
Home
54.8% (515)
52.5% (282)
Away
50.2% (534)
51.5% (293)
By Period
Matthews
Blueger
P1
54.4%
49.2%
P2
50.4%
57.2%
P3
51.8%
50.8%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:39 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |