Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Blueger 47.4% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 57.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 73.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 57.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Backlund
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Backlund
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (930)
48.2% (253)
+1.9%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
66.7% (9)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (293)
34.7% (49)
+13.1%
On power play, Blueger has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Backlund is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (926).
Backlund shoots left. Blueger is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Backlund
Blueger
Home
48.1% (636)
49.8% (215)
Away
51.1% (653)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Backlund
Blueger
P1
45.2%
45.8%
P2
54.2%
50.4%
P3
48.8%
42.2%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
46.0%▼
48.5%
49.7%
Blueger
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |