Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.8% vs Blueger 47.4% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 50.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 70.8%
Neutral zone
Blueger 50.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Dowd
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Dowd
Blueger
Last 7: Dowd 4-3 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
Dowd
Blueger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd
Blueger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (666)
48.2% (253)
+3.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
66.7% (9)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
34.7% (49)
+6.8%
On power play, Blueger has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Dowd is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Dowd shoots right. Blueger is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Dowd
Blueger
Home
48.5% (466)
49.8% (215)
Away
48.8% (426)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Dowd
Blueger
P1
48.4%
45.8%
P2
46.8%
50.4%
P3
51.3%
42.2%
OT
30.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Blueger
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |