Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (96% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blueger 50.0% vs Hertl 54.3% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 33-16 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Blueger 80.2%
Defensive zone
Blueger 95.5%
Neutral zone
Blueger 84.0%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Blueger
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
33
(49 meetings)
16
33
Blueger
Hertl
Last 10: Blueger 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
24
Blueger
Hertl
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
6
4
Blueger
Hertl
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
9
5
Blueger
Hertl
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blueger
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (3,582)
53.9% (8,303)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.6% (77)
59.2% (1,995)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (1,103)
46.3% (806)
-3.6%
On power play, Hertl has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Blueger is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,231).
Blueger shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Blueger
Hertl
Home
51.3% (2,426)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
48.5% (2,336)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Blueger
Hertl
P1
49.2%
53.6%
P2
52.2%
54.2%
P3
48.6%
55.3%
OT
40.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
50.0%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 08:33 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |