Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Stützle 52.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 88.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 80.0%
Neutral zone
Stützle 66.8%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Stenlund
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stenlund
Stützle
Last 5: Stenlund 1-4 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
2
Stenlund
Stützle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
1
2
Stenlund
Stützle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
52.7% (501)
+3.5%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
54.2% (59)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
56.3% (32)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Stenlund shoots right. Stützle is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Stützle
Home
56.9% (483)
51.9% (285)
Away
52.5% (526)
54.1% (307)
By Period
Stenlund
Stützle
P1
54.2%
51.6%
P2
53.2%
55.4%
P3
56.9%
52.2%
OT
42.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |