Scouting Report
Tim Stützle holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Stützle wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stützle 52.6% vs Gourde 46.0% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 57.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 86.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 61.1%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 74.0%
26.0%
74.0%
Stützle
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Stützle
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Stützle
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Stützle
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stützle
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (501)
47.2% (687)
+5.5%
Power Play
54.2% (59)
45.0% (20)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (32)
33.0% (88)
+23.3%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Stützle is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (364).
Stützle shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Stützle
Gourde
Home
51.9% (285)
44.4% (356)
Away
54.1% (307)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Stützle
Gourde
P1
51.6%
42.2%
P2
55.4%
50.0%
P3
52.2%
44.5%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
53.0%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:13 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |