Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.4% vs 58.1%). Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hyry wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hyry 54.4% vs Hertl 57.4% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 72.5%
Defensive zone
Hyry 82.3%
Neutral zone
Hyry 64.2%
Result
Arttu Hyry favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Hyry
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Hyry
Hertl
Last 10: Hyry 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Hyry
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hyry
3
0
Hyry
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Hyry
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hyry
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
62.4% (109)
58.5% (845)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
62.9% (35)
-22.3%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Hyry is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Hyry shoots right. Hertl is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Hyry
Hertl
Home
54.3% (81)
60.0% (582)
Away
61.7% (60)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Hyry
Hertl
P1
57.5%
52.1%
P2
58.0%
63.6%
P3
56.9%
58.8%
Final 5 min
69.2%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hyry
56.0%▼
58.6%
57.4%
Hertl
64.0%▲
60.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Arttu Hyry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Arttu Hyry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 16:48 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 10:55 | Neutral | Arttu Hyry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Arttu Hyry |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |