Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Kindel wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 44.5% vs Hertl 57.5% (-14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 83.8%
Defensive zone
Kindel 85.9%
Neutral zone
Kindel 89.6%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Kindel
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
9
(9 meetings)
0
9
Kindel
Hertl
Last 9: Kindel 0-9 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
7
Kindel
Hertl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kindel
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kindel
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (530)
58.7% (858)
-16.1%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
55.8% (285)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
62.9% (35)
-15.5%
On even strength, Hertl has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kindel is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Kindel shoots right. Hertl is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Kindel
Hertl
Home
45.0% (291)
60.1% (599)
Away
42.1% (297)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Kindel
Hertl
P1
40.2%
52.4%
P2
45.1%
63.9%
P3
41.5%
58.5%
OT
92.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
38.2%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.5%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |