Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Hertl 57.5% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 63.4%
Defensive zone
Compher 86.4%
Neutral zone
Compher 66.3%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Compher
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Compher
Hertl
Last 7: Compher 2-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Compher
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Compher
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
58.7% (858)
-5.6%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
55.8% (285)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
62.9% (35)
-26.1%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Compher shoots right. Hertl is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Compher
Hertl
Home
51.3% (452)
60.1% (599)
Away
51.5% (458)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Compher
Hertl
P1
54.9%
52.4%
P2
49.0%
63.9%
P3
50.6%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:59 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |