Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 48.5% vs Hertl 48.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 77.4%
Defensive zone
Vitale 78.7%
Neutral zone
Vitale 51.3%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Vitale
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Vitale
Hertl
Last 5: Vitale 4-1 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
0
Vitale
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (539)
39.7% (58)
+11.1%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
60.0% (25)
-20.0%
On power play, Hertl has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Vitale is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Vitale shoots right. Hertl is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
Vitale
Hertl
Home
46.9% (371)
52.6% (57)
Away
49.7% (362)
30.8% (26)
By Period
Vitale
Hertl
P1
52.9%
32.0%
P2
44.2%
50.0%
P3
47.9%
53.6%
Final 5 min
49.1%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
48.3%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |