Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Ek wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.4% vs Hertl 54.7% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 25-11 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 95.7%
Defensive zone
Ek 86.7%
Neutral zone
Ek 86.2%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 88.2%
88.2%
11.8%
Ek
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
25
(36 meetings)
11
25
Ek
Hertl
Last 10: Ek 2-8 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
7
Ek
Hertl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
10
Ek
Hertl
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Ek
Hertl
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (707)
55.7% (648)
-7.9%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
60.4% (149)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (77)
42.2% (83)
-3.2%
On power play, Hertl has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Ek is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (632).
Ek shoots left. Hertl is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (626).
Home / Away
Ek
Hertl
Home
47.1% (414)
58.3% (391)
Away
47.1% (425)
52.8% (489)
By Period
Ek
Hertl
P1
45.5%
58.9%
P2
50.2%
51.5%
P3
44.3%
54.3%
OT
66.7%
76.9%
Final 5 min
43.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
48.0%▬
49.0%
47.1%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 03:42 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 18:37 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 29, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 07:20 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 17:28 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |