Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cooley on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cooley wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.1% vs Hertl 57.5% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 74.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 72.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 74.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 74.0%
26.0%
74.0%
Cooley
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cooley
Hertl
Last 7: Cooley 4-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Cooley
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
2
0
Cooley
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cooley
2
1
Cooley
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (421)
58.7% (858)
-15.2%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
55.8% (285)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
62.9% (35)
-5.8%
On even strength, Hertl has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Cooley is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (319).
Cooley shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Cooley
Hertl
Home
45.0% (240)
60.1% (599)
Away
43.3% (270)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Cooley
Hertl
P1
44.1%
52.4%
P2
48.8%
63.9%
P3
37.7%
58.5%
Final 5 min
45.9%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 16:03 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |