Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Cooley wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.3% vs Hertl 55.4% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 84.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 90.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 86.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 87.7%
12.3%
87.7%
Cooley
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cooley
Hertl
Last 5: Cooley 4-1 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Cooley
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
2
0
Cooley
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cooley
2
0
Cooley
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (632)
54.1% (717)
-10.0%
Power Play
46.3% (108)
61.9% (210)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
58.1% (31)
-3.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Cooley is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Cooley shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Cooley
Hertl
Home
46.4% (418)
58.1% (492)
Away
42.7% (342)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Cooley
Hertl
P1
44.3%
57.1%
P2
45.6%
54.0%
P3
44.0%
56.6%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
41.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
46.0%▲
40.5%
44.7%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 19:26 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |