Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 51.9% vs Hertl 57.5% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 96.8%
Defensive zone
Glendening 53.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 80.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Glendening
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Glendening
Hertl
Last 9: Glendening 7-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Glendening
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
4
0
Glendening
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
0
Glendening
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (420)
58.7% (858)
-5.1%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
55.8% (285)
+44.2%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (148)
62.9% (35)
-15.6%
On power play, Glendening has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Glendening is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Glendening shoots right. Hertl is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Glendening
Hertl
Home
48.0% (256)
60.1% (599)
Away
55.7% (316)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Glendening
Hertl
P1
50.9%
52.4%
P2
51.7%
63.9%
P3
53.3%
58.5%
OT
83.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
49.0%
52.3%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | OT | 04:55 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 15:02 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |