Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Blueger wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blueger 48.1% vs Hertl 57.5% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 80.4%
Defensive zone
Blueger 79.2%
Neutral zone
Blueger 61.7%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Blueger
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Blueger
Hertl
Last 9: Blueger 4-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Blueger
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Blueger
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
3
1
Blueger
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blueger
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (265)
58.7% (858)
-9.3%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
55.8% (285)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
34.0% (50)
62.9% (35)
-28.9%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Blueger is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Blueger shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Blueger
Hertl
Home
49.8% (215)
60.1% (599)
Away
43.1% (109)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Blueger
Hertl
P1
46.4%
52.4%
P2
50.4%
63.9%
P3
44.8%
58.5%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
47.5%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 08:33 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |