Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). Hertl wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.3% vs Boyd 44.1% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 90.6%
Defensive zone
Hertl 75.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 87.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 86.8%
86.8%
13.2%
Hertl
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Hertl
Boyd
Last 10: Hertl 9-1 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
9
5
Hertl
Boyd
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
1
4
Hertl
Boyd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
4
0
Hertl
Boyd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (8,303)
44.4% (2,186)
+9.5%
Power Play
59.2% (1,995)
46.5% (256)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (806)
35.6% (208)
+10.7%
On power play, Hertl has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Hertl is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,142).
Hertl shoots left. Boyd is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,838).
Home / Away
Hertl
Boyd
Home
55.8% (5,382)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
52.9% (5,722)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Hertl
Boyd
P1
53.6%
41.7%
P2
54.2%
46.2%
P3
55.3%
44.0%
OT
46.9%
22.2%
Final 5 min
54.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:25 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 14:45 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 06:43 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 3 | 06:38 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |