Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Hertl wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 57.5% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 97.6%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 58.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 84.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Hertl
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
Hertl
Dellandrea
Last 10: Hertl 8-2 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
11
2
Hertl
Dellandrea
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
3
4
Hertl
Dellandrea
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hertl
Dellandrea
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (858)
54.1% (355)
+4.6%
Power Play
55.8% (285)
53.8% (13)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
62.9% (35)
47.6% (143)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Hertl is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Hertl shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Hertl
Dellandrea
Home
60.1% (599)
54.3% (278)
Away
56.1% (579)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Hertl
Dellandrea
P1
52.4%
54.2%
P2
63.9%
50.6%
P3
58.5%
51.8%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:03 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:08 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 19:03 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:59 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |