Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 52.3% vs Bozak 46.2% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 54.3%
Defensive zone
Bozak 53.7%
Neutral zone
Bozak 51.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Hertl
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hertl
Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hertl
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hertl
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,084)
46.7% (338)
+4.9%
Power Play
61.0% (246)
50.0% (6)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (136)
32.6% (43)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Hertl shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Hertl
Bozak
Home
55.2% (696)
47.9% (194)
Away
50.0% (770)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Hertl
Bozak
P1
55.4%
40.2%
P2
54.8%
51.4%
P3
48.9%
43.1%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |