Tomas Hertl vs Vladimir Sobotka
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.3% vs Sobotka 55.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Sobotka leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 63.9%
Defensive zone
Sobotka 65.6%
Neutral zone
Sobotka 54.6%
Result
Vladimir Sobotka favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Hertl
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Hertl
Sobotka
Last 10: Hertl 6-4 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Hertl
Sobotka
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
4
2
Hertl
Sobotka
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
1
3
Hertl
Sobotka
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (8,303)
56.9% (2,613)
-3.0%
Power Play
59.2% (1,995)
57.0% (223)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (806)
50.6% (447)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Sobotka has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Hertl shoots left. Sobotka is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,145).
Home / Away
Hertl
Sobotka
Home
55.8% (5,382)
58.7% (1,601)
Away
52.9% (5,722)
53.5% (1,685)
By Period
Hertl
Sobotka
P1
53.6%
56.2%
P2
54.2%
56.3%
P3
55.3%
55.3%
OT
46.9%
61.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 04:07 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 14:43 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 27, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 08:36 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |