Tomas Hertl vs William Nylander
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Hertl wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.3% vs Nylander 49.9% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 55.8%
Defensive zone
Hertl 86.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 74.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Hertl
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Hertl
Nylander
Last 9: Hertl 6-3 Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
1
Hertl
Nylander
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hertl
Nylander
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
5
1
Hertl
Nylander
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (8,303)
50.2% (1,874)
+3.7%
Power Play
59.2% (1,995)
46.7% (229)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (806)
54.8% (31)
-8.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Hertl is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,142).
Hertl shoots left. Nylander is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,523).
Home / Away
Hertl
Nylander
Home
55.8% (5,382)
51.3% (1,186)
Away
52.9% (5,722)
48.1% (948)
By Period
Hertl
Nylander
P1
53.6%
51.1%
P2
54.2%
45.6%
P3
55.3%
53.1%
OT
46.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Nylander
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 09:56 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 04:34 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |