Tomas Hertl vs William Nylander

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Tomas Hertl holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Hertl wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Hertl 54.3% vs Nylander 49.9% (+4.4%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Hertl 55.8%
Defensive zone Hertl 86.2%
Neutral zone Hertl 74.8%
Result Tomas Hertl favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Hertl Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 3 (9 meetings)
6
3
Hertl Nylander
Last 9: Hertl 6-3 Nylander

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
1
Hertl Nylander
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hertl Nylander
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
5
1
Hertl Nylander
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Hertl
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (8,303)
50.2% (1,874)
+3.7%
Power Play
59.2% (1,995)
46.7% (229)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (806)
54.8% (31)
-8.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +12.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Hertl is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,142).
Hertl shoots left. Nylander is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,523).
Home / Away
Hertl
Nylander
Home
55.8% (5,382)
51.3% (1,186)
Away
52.9% (5,722)
48.1% (948)
By Period
Hertl
Nylander
P1
53.6%
51.1%
P2
54.2%
45.6%
P3
55.3%
53.1%
OT
46.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
46.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
66.0%
61.0%
54.3%
Nylander
30.0%
42.5%
49.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 30, 2022 3 02:48 Defensive Tomas Hertl
Oct 25, 2019 2 11:42 Offensive William Nylander
Jan 4, 2018 3 19:04 Neutral Tomas Hertl
Jan 4, 2018 3 18:59 Neutral Tomas Hertl
Jan 4, 2018 3 09:56 Neutral Tomas Hertl
Jan 4, 2018 2 03:44 Neutral Tomas Hertl
Oct 30, 2017 3 10:09 Defensive William Nylander
Oct 30, 2017 3 04:34 Neutral William Nylander
Oct 30, 2017 1 02:54 Neutral Tomas Hertl