Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Hertl wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hyman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.3% vs Hyman 44.9% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 97.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 62.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 90.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Hertl
Hyman
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Hertl
Hyman
Last 10: Hertl 7-3 Hyman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
6
0
Hertl
Hyman
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hyman
1
3
Hertl
Hyman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Hyman
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (8,303)
45.4% (271)
+8.5%
Power Play
59.2% (1,995)
33.3% (15)
+25.9%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (806)
43.9% (485)
+2.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hyman shoots right. Hertl is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,142).
Hertl shoots left. Hyman is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Hertl
Hyman
Home
55.8% (5,382)
49.9% (365)
Away
52.9% (5,722)
39.2% (406)
By Period
Hertl
Hyman
P1
53.6%
44.1%
P2
54.2%
40.6%
P3
55.3%
49.1%
OT
46.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.8%
38.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Hyman
44.0%▲
42.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Zach Hyman |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Zach Hyman |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Zach Hyman |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |